It is a 4-Way Race in Iowa

Survey Shows Obama Losing Disaffected Democrats and Independent Voters to Ron Paul

MUNCIE, Indiana – TeleResearch conducted the  largest sample to date of  registered Iowa Republicans (678) likely to attend the upcoming caucus on January 3rd, 2012. Further,  the survey finds that when including disaffected Democrats and Independent voters likely to  take part in the Republican Caucus, the total sample  balloons to 846 resulting in a +/- 3.4% margin of error.

Professor of Political Science, Timothy M. Hagle of the University in Iowa was recently quoted in an article published  in the Des Moines Register pertaining to the survey that the results of the TeleResearch survey conducted on behalf of RevPAC are consistent with the J. Ann Selzer/Bloomberg poll conducted a week earlier which also show the Republican race as a four-way race to be Iowans first choice as the GOP nominee.

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In addition, the survey shows what could be a troubling sign for President Obama as disaffected Democrats and Independents in Iowa indicate they plan to cross over to support Republican candidate Ron Paul. As such, factoring in the crossover factor breaks the bottleneck in the Republican field with Ron Paul emerging with a four-point lead.

TeleResearch Corporation conducted the telephone survey on Monday, November 21, 2011 and received the responses of 2,983 randomly selected statewide registered-voters. The overall survey has a margin of error of +/- 1.79%.