It is a 4-Way Race in Iowa
Survey Shows Obama Losing Disaffected Democrats and Independent Voters to Ron Paul
MUNCIE, Indiana – TeleResearch conducted the largest sample to date of registered Iowa Republicans (678) likely to attend the upcoming caucus on January 3rd, 2012. Further, the survey finds that when including disaffected Democrats and Independent voters likely to take part in the Republican Caucus, the total sample balloons to 846 resulting in a +/- 3.4% margin of error.
Professor of Political Science, Timothy M. Hagle of the University in Iowa was recently quoted in an article published in the Des Moines Register pertaining to the survey that the results of the TeleResearch survey conducted on behalf of RevPAC are consistent with the J. Ann Selzer/Bloomberg poll conducted a week earlier which also show the Republican race as a four-way race to be Iowans first choice as the GOP nominee.
In addition, the survey shows what could be a troubling sign for President Obama as disaffected Democrats and Independents in Iowa indicate they plan to cross over to support Republican candidate Ron Paul. As such, factoring in the crossover factor breaks the bottleneck in the Republican field with Ron Paul emerging with a four-point lead.
TeleResearch Corporation conducted the telephone survey on Monday, November 21, 2011 and received the responses of 2,983 randomly selected statewide registered-voters. The overall survey has a margin of error of +/- 1.79%.
Read MoreStill Lucky after all these years
MUNCIE, Ind. – After 19 years in business, TeleResearch Corporation still remains among the most accurate polling firms in the nation with a record of 94 out of 95 races polled prior to an election.
Some call us “lucky”, we call it – dedication to our profession - Our finely honed methodology has proven itself time and time again, much to the dismay of the critics. We attribute our success to an undying passion for giving our clients the insight to the information they need in order to navigate today’s sometimes chaotic business/political environment.
We would like to thank all of our clients over these past 19 years and we pledge to continue to strive for excellence and ensure our methodology remains cutting edge today and in the future. Finally, we look forward to providing our insight and analysis for many more years to come.
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